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Skryté dimenzie nerovnosti

Pred niekoľkými mesiacmi publikovalo americké Centrum pre výskum dôchodkov pri Boston College štúdiu o vzťahu medzi úmrtnosťou a socioekonomickým statusom (Sanzenbacher et al. 2015). Spomínaná štúdia poukázala na dátach zo Spojených štátov na jednu zo skrytých dimenzií nerovnosti, konkrétne na rozdiely v mortalite a s tým spojené rozdiely v strednej dĺžke života. Podľa záverov tohto výskumu ľudia s vyšším vzdelaním [1] žijú o niekoľko rokov dlhšie, pričom nožnice medzi tými s najnižším a najvyšším vzdelaním sa postupne počas posledných desaťročí roztvárali. V roku 1979 sa 65 ročný Američan-muž s nízkym vzdelaním mohol tešiť na ďalších 12,5 rokov života. U mužov s vyšším vzdelaním to bolo takmer 14 rokov. Do roku 2011 sa rozdiel v tomto ukazovateli medzi rôznymi vzdelanostnými skupinami viac ako zdvojnásobil. V priemere má každá skupina vyšší očakávaný vek dožitia, ale u tých s najvyšším vzdelaním došlo k podstatne väčšiemu nárastu, ako medzi menej vzdelanými. V roku 2011 sa tak Američan s nižším vzdelaním dožíval po dosiahnutí 65-ky ďalších 16,5 rokov, zatiaľ čo tí s vyšším vzdelaním až 20 rokov. Trend je podobný aj u žien, aj keď nárast rozdielov je o niečo menší.

Situácia je podobná aj na našej strane Atlantiku. Podľa štatistík Eurostatu z rokov 2011 až 2013, slovenskí muži so vzdelaním maximálne do stredoškolskej úrovne bez maturity, ktorí sa dožili veku 65 rokov, sa môžu tešiť na ďalších zhruba 12 rokov života. U mužov s vysokoškolským vzdelaním je to až 16 rokov (Eurostat 2015). Podobné rozdiely existujú aj v ostatných štátoch nášho regiónu, vrátane Česka a Slovinska. Aj keď štatistiky EÚ naznačujú, že v západnej Európe sú rozdiely menšie, zdanie môže klamať. Detailné analýzy berlínskeho Inštitútu Roberta Kocha, ktorý sa zaoberá aj epidemiologickým a demografickým výskumom, ukazujú, že rozdielne postavenie osôb na trhu práce je úzko späté s dĺžkou života aj v Nemecku (Lampert a Kroll 2014). Možno teda konštatovať, že vyššie vzdelanie a z neho plynúce lepšie postavenie na trhu práce,  čo zahŕňa možnosť vykonávať fyzicky menej náročné a lepšie platené práce, sa premieta do rozdielov v zdravotnom stave jednotlivcov tak na vyspelom západe, ako aj u nás.

Tieto zistenia nesmú ostať nepovšimnuté pri tvorbe dôchodkovej politiky. Slovensko nastúpi v roku 2017 na systém automaticky sa zvyšujúceho veku odchodu do dôchodku v závislosti od vývoja veku dožitia. Naša legislatíva však pri určovaní dôchodkového veku neberie do úvahy zásadné rozdiely v úmrtnosti rôznych skupín podľa príjmu alebo povolania, ako ani to, že tieto rozdiely sa podľa doterajších skúseností skôr prehlbovali. Dosiahnuť úplnú spravodlivosť v tomto smere by však bolo veľmi ťažké. Pre ktoré profesie sa určí nižší vek odchodu do dôchodku? Má sa brať do úvahy vek dožitia ľudí vykonávajúcich istú profesiu (teda ak takýto ukazovateľ je vôbec k dispozícii), alebo náročnosť daného povolania? A prečo ostať iba pri zohľadňovaní postavenia na trhu práce, veď rozdiely v úmrtnosti máme aj medzi obyvateľmi rôznych regiónov?

Otázok je veľa, uspokojivých odpovedí je už menej. Existuje však niekoľko spôsobov, ako aspoň čiastočne zohľadniť v dôchodkovej politike rozdiely v strednej dĺžke života prameniace zo socioekonomických faktorov. Jedným z riešení je zvýšenie progresivity systému starobného dôchodkového zabezpečenia. Inými slovami, jednotlivcom s vyššími príjmami by sa ich vyššie odvody nemali v plnej miere zohľadňovať pri výpočte dôchodkov. K tomuto viedli zmeny v rovnici na výpočet dôchodkov, ktoré presadila vláda v roku 2013. Podobný efekt má zavedenie minimálneho dôchodku.

Tieto opatrenia boli, a zrejme ešte aj dlho budú kritizované za ich možný negatívny vplyv na ochotu platiť odvody. Kritici väčšinou ignorujú, že úmrtnosť medzi vyššími príjmovými skupinami je nižšia, ako medzi ľuďmi zarábajúcimi priemer alebo podpriemer. Odklon od takzvanej zásluhovosti pri výpočte mesačnej dôchodkovej dávky tým, že sa ľuďom s nižším platom pridá na dôchodkoch a tým bohatším sa uberie iba vyrovnáva rozdiel v súčasnej hodnote dôchodkových dávok vyplácaných Sociálnou poisťovňou.. Je to rozumné náhradné riešenie, keď zavedenie diferencovaného dôchodkového veku pre rôzne profesie, alebo socioekonomické skupiny je nereálne.

Ďalším krokom k lepšiemu zohľadňovaniu skrytých nerovností by mohlo byť zmiernenie zvýšenia a zníženia dôchodkov v prípade neskoršieho, resp. skoršieho odchodu do dôchodku. Výskumy zamerané na západoeurópske štáty, ale aj na susedné Maďarsko, opakovane poukazujú na prítomnosť výraznej antiselekcie do neskoršieho odchodu do dôchodku (Waldron 2001; Eső, Simonovits, a Tóth 2011). Inými slovami, tí ktorí nadsluhujú, sú väčšinou tí istí ľudia, ktorí sa dožívajú nadpriemerne vysokého veku. Naopak tí, ktorí odchádzajú skôr z trhu práce, často aj kvôli zdravotným ťažkostiam, umierajú skôr ako priemerný dôchodca.

Pohľad zblízka dokáže niekedy poodhaliť skryté dimenzie nerovnosti, na ktoré by sme nemali zabúdať pri tvorbe zákonov. Ak ich budeme ignorovať, nakoniec dospejeme k prerozdeľovaniu, avšak v prospech bohatých a v neprospech chudobných.

[1] Sanzenbacher et al. (2014) pri tomto výskume vychádzajú z predpokladu, že vzdelanie je najlepším možným indikátorom socioekonomického statusu jednotlivca.

Zoznam bibliografie

Eső, Péter, András Simonovits, a József Tóth. 2011. “Designing Benefit Rules for Flexible Retirement: Welfare vs. Redistribution [Tvorba pravidiel pre výpočet dávok pri flexibilnom odchode do dôchodku: sociálne zabezpečenie vs. prerozdeľovanie]”. Acta Oeconomica 61 (1): 3–32.

Eurostat. 2015. “Life expectancy by age, sex and educational attainment level [Stredná dĺžka života podľa veku, pohlavia a vzdelanostnej úrovne]”. Eurostat databáza, časový rad demo_mlexpecedu. Stiahnuté dňa 3.4.2016.

Lampert, Thomas, a Lars Eric Kroll. 2014. “Soziale Unterschiede in der Mortalität und Lebenserwartung [Sociálne rozdiely v úmrtnosti a strednej dĺžke života]”. Robert Koch-Institut (Berlín), GBE kompakt 5(2). http://www.rki.de/DE/Content/Gesundheitsmonitoring/Gesundheitsberichterstattung/GBEDownloadsK/2014_2_soziale_unterschiede.pdf?__blob=publicationFile. Stiahnuté dňa 1.3.2016.

Sanzenbacher, Geoffrey T., Anthony Webb, Candace M. Cosgrove, a Natalia S. Orlova. 2015. “Calculating Neutral Increases in Retirement Age by Socioeconomic Status [Kalkulácia neutrálnych nárastov v dôchodkovom veku podľa socioekonomického statusu]”. Center for Retirement Research at Boston College Working Paper 2015-21. http://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/wp_2015-211.pdf. Stiahnuté dňa 28.2.2016.

Waldron, Hilary. 2001. “Links between early retirement and mortality [Súvislosť medzi predčasným odchodom do dôchodku a úmrtnosťou]”. Social Security Administration. ORES working paper No. 93. https://socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/workingpapers/wp93.pdf. Stiahnuté dňa 28.2.2016.

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